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Effectively Wild Episode 1987: The 2023 Preseason Predictions Game

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

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The Importance of Maintaining a Good Success Rate

Last year he stole 32 bases and was worth 4.3 base running runs below average, none of that because of stealing. He's successful on the base path. He makes a lot of bad decisions on the bases. So I think that he will steal 40 bases. But just because the break even point is going to be different, you're really going to hurt yourself if you cannot maintain a good success rate now.

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