Net Assessment cover image

Prediction is Hard, Especially about Confidence Levels

Net Assessment

00:00

Lessons from Foreign Affairs 'Ask the Experts' Polls

Zack reviews Ask the Experts polls, noting experts often trend toward correctness but consistently report high confidence regardless of dispersion.

Transcript
Play full episode

The AI-powered Podcast Player

Save insights by tapping your headphones, chat with episodes, discover the best highlights - and more!
App store bannerPlay store banner
Get the app