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The Fed’s Hawkish Walk Back

The Breakdown

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The Fed Chair Will Not Lurch to Max Dovish

Bostick and Keshkari are just prelude to the big show, which is Powell giving a speech this afternoon in Washington. In advance of that, markets were cooling to see if Powell would keep the same message up. Krishna Guha: We think the Fed Chair will not lurch to Max hawkish, but will leverage the employment report to be more credibly hawkish. Thomas Lee and funstrat say that Powell sticks to the Dovish script. Their reasoning? January reflects seasonal hiring if December fewer hires than January less.

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