How to Estimate Estimates

This is past data visualized to allow you to say oh okay so right. You can be and say Troy how long is this feature going to take I can tell you well. We have an 85% certainty that we're going to finish in 15 days. Right. That's a type of a probabilistic forecast because you have a range, which is 22 days or less than this example. And the probability is 95% right. There is also a 5% probability that it won't be done in 22 days or more. But what this allows you to do number one is it understands your risk when you're forecasting right. So why does this team have some stories that are done in