The Importance of Expected Moves in Finance

The expected move is the most accurate statistic in all of finance. It's right about 70% of the time that's that it's just, and that 70% by the way is really 68 and change. So you kind of know what your probability of success is going to be. The expected move is where it is basically just a great spot to give yourself like it let's say you bought 100 shares of Tesla because you were bullish. You place it at the expected move on the upside, which would have been $20 higher.