The Importance of Polling

I am skeptical of feelings. Just in general, I don't trust them. But beyond that, I'm particularly skeptical of feelings when they're an intuition that confirms what I already think. When it's a confirmation bias or a tribal bias. We're about to go into hyperdrive tribalism time right now. Look at these polls. Absolutely. This is a slam dunk. There's no road map. And you should not discount them entirely. You are probably going to see some strategic shift. What we saw with the Hillary Clinton campaign, for example, in 2016 was a lot of absolutely no sweat. There’s no chance. The pollsters were overconfident by their interpretations