2min chapter

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Eliezer Yudkowsky - Why AI Will Kill Us, Aligning LLMs, Nature of Intelligence, SciFi, & Rationality

Dwarkesh Podcast

CHAPTER

The Uncertainty of the Future

In the absence of anything that predicts exactly which properties gpt5 will have there isn't a simple like I found just the right thing to be ignorant about it's so easy. The chance of a good outcome is 33 because they're like one possible good outcome and two possible bad outcomes. It seems kind of weird to you but that's just like Opposing your natural english language prior like your natural humanis prior on the space of possibilities and being like I'll distribute it my max entropy stuff over that Okay, can you explain that again?

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