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6min chapter
How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear
FiveThirtyEight Politics
Putin's Russia and the Ukraine Conflict
Putin has not suffered or is not at risk of popular unrest that there is enough popular support for what he's doing to sustain it. Putin has significant flexibility in framing an endgame as a victory you know probably more so than Zelensky does. Overall I think western public opinion towards Ukraine has held up better than many analysts were expecting. China doesn't matter a huge amount but the Chinese government does have some influence over its own internal political life.
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