Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Black Swans
EconTalk
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Is There a Link Between Smoking and Breast Cancer?
The more data we have, the worse or statistical knowledge of the world is going to be. It's a very unintuitive idea. Once you have a theory in your head, you'e gon just look for confirmation yes. So this is ta problem of th confirmationb let me give ou a example why it is biological. I found a paper written in 19 60 something by buner and potter. Seminal paper for me, but of course, not very noticed. Where if i showed you the picture of a dog, ok, a very blurred picture of adog, ok, you would not, you wouldn't see a dog,ok, is blurred er. All right
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