Clay Graubard and Robert de Neufville on forecasting the war in Ukraine
80k After Hours
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Do You Think There Could Be a Nuclear Attack on London?
During that first week, things seemed very fluid and l it seemed like a lot ofi seemed possible. That was also the time where we all watched that late night drone footage of the nuclear plant being attacked. And so during that period, i think there was a lot of risk of hysteria,. Although, you know, that t was also the same time that both russi and us announced that they had established this hot line between the two sides. I don't think either of these sides wanted to do as much to achieve their goals without going over that nuclear threshold. We've seen them put some gard rails in place, like this deconfliction hot line. Not clear how well that
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