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Episode 37: Silicon Valley Bank; Credit Suisse; the Transfer of Wealth from Equity to Debt; Aussie Banks win in Flight to Quality; Default Cycle Ramps Up; Consumer Buffers; Best Trades and more

Complexity Premia

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The Inflation Problem Is Not Going Away Anytime Soon

The RPA here in Australia has argued that the Nairo could be in the low 4% so the territory, we have seen some weaker wages data here in Australia. Now, it looks like the new New South Wales government wants to aggressively pay back debt. The bottom line is that this modelling suggests that the inflation problem is not going away anytime soon. We're either going to have to maintain high rates for a protracted period, potentially through to 2025, or we may see second hiking cycles.

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