Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours cover image

Eight: Prof Hilary Greaves on moral cluelessness, population ethics, & harnessing the brainpower of academia to tackle the most important research questions

Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours

CHAPTER

Decision Theory - The Newcom Problem

There's a well known in the field problem called the newcon problem. It pulls apart two kinds of decision theory, which would yield same predictions as one another about what you should do. The causal option is that if you take both boxes, that means your actions causally bring about money. In this case it makes more sense to only take the opaque box because there's already evidence for the world being set up in its favour. But i'm a causal theorist and most people who've thought about this problem don't think it's fair to say  a universal thing by no means!

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