Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez cover image

David Dredge On Defining Risk, Profiting from Extreme Moves, and Convexity

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

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The Feduciary, Compounding

You said the financial industry seems to uptimise arithmetic. Can you just elaborate a bit more by by what what you mean about t y? The average will always be vastly distorted, because the actual distribution of wealth in returns is not a normal distribution. And so risk management becomes more important than market forecasting. There's only really two things that matter, ind compounding, time and downside.

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