6min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

A Wild Ride In The Oil Market | Josh Young

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

The Breakeven Costs of Oil and Gas Production

The key to value in oil stock is the price of oil, but then what it costs to produce it. A lot of these companies came into 2014 with two to four times debt to EBITDA or debt to cash flow at $100 oil, $120 oil. When oil fell to 50, they were at eight times debt to cash Flow or 10 times and in many cases, those companies went bankrupt. The average debt level is way lower. And then like you're saying, the cost structures were sort of bloated. So if you look at the number of employees per barrel produced or you looks at the total dollar GNA versus either revenue or barrels produced, it's way smaller.

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