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Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Black Swans

EconTalk

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Is It Global Warming?

i brought asort o philosophical problem called the riddles inductionn ju thers a very complex idea of it. If i give you a series of points and you want to make a projection, there's only one and one line that would minimize the erras. You can have an infinity of possible models, each one with an infinityatization ad and we like the problems. Cans gettog it sharper and sharp. I's ging to get sharper and sharper up to a point, a soms some, some, some degree of clarity. Ok. Now, if i do it in ten cranks for you, ok, you won't see the dark, all right.

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