How to Identify Significant Turning Points in the Market

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Sally Kohn: I want to dive into your investment strategy though now because your strategy is centered around identifying market tops and bottoms. So could you talk a little bit about your framework, including how you developed it and the methods you use to identify significant turning points in the market?Kohn: We never deal in uncertainties. We admit we're only dealing in probabilities. Every decision that people make on a stock market is in a decision based on probabilities. But what we do fully is that at 30 points, there are factors that show up in the stock market that no longer random and give you a high probability trait. That just means that if the problem was 80%, that hit the

Rebecca Hotsko talks to Milton Berg about his shift from fundamental to technical analysis, his critiques of value investing, his use of market indicators to identify turning points, and much, much more!

Milton Berg, CFA, is the CEO and Chief Investment Strategist of MB Advisors, LLC. He has worked in the financial services industry since 1978 and began his career as a Commodities Analyst and Trader at Swiss-based Erlanger and Company. He has worked with well-known titans of the hedge fund world including Michael Steinhardt, George Soros, and Stanley Druckenmiller.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro.

02:30 - Why Milton transitioned from being a fundamental investor, studying Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, to a technical analyst?

10:49 - What drives market prices in the short term and long term, and are they random?

16:25 - Milton’s criticisms about value investing and learning from studying Benjamin Graham.

34:54 - How his investment strategy works, which is centered around identifying significant turning points in the market?

35:06 - What indicators he uses to assess whether the market is at a turning point.

45:25 - Whether Milton believes we are near a turning point today and the market has already seen its bottom.

53:00 - Is it possible to time the market?

01:00:33 - Advice on the most important factors that long term investors should focus on.

*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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Check out: MiltonBerg.com.
Related Episode: Listen to MI255: Navigating Bubble 3.0: Is This Time Different? w/ David Hay, or watch the video.

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