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No Clear Sign Of Recession Yet, Says Nick Reece
Forward Guidance
Can the Fed Go Through a Hiking Site Without Causing Recession?
The 10 to spread is negative once again, which is typically a harbinger of a recession. The euro dollar curve has inverted and that sort of bulge in the curve has been pulled further and further close. In terms of recession risk over a sort of imminent time period next six months, you'd really be looking for an uninversion coming from a state of being inverted and uninverted with yields declining.
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