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Sentence first, verdict afterwards
Think with Pinker
What Is the Prosecutor's Fallacy?
The prosecutor's fallacy is to say, if the defendant were guilty, this is the evidence we would see. Melvin has confused the probability of having no discomfort given that you have liver disease with the probability that he has liver disease. Is the text book prosecutor's fallacy committed by real life prosecutors? It's not a common expression but it seems to me tat that's part of what a judge must decide.
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