5min chapter

New Books in Mathematics cover image

Ronald Meester and Klaas Slooten, "Probability and Forensic Evidence: Theory, Philosophy, and Applications" (Cambridge UP, 2021)

New Books in Mathematics

CHAPTER

The Problem With Bee Values Is That You Don't Know How to Calculate Probability Ratios

Apefewo tells me places the actual, the actual outcome that we found, i places that into the teeete, the range of possible outcomes. If you believe a certain hypothesis is true, but the outcome that you obtained, it's very extreme for that particular hypothesis. Riht, then you start to wonder, wait a minute, imy hypothesis correct? To be sure, this is exactly what happened in the celli clar case,. The hypothesis of being innocent did not match very well with two, two dead babies. And so so adding a p value will only obscure the picture, unfortunately.

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