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Is There a Risk in Sticking With the Herd?
Before two thousand and eight, we tended think that recessions were going to be caused by central banks. But are we back in a world where you would bet that the next recession is most likely to come from a screw up by the central banks? One obvious risk is just that the unprescedented support means it's going to be uncommonly difficult to unwind. And one interesting thing would be if central banks had to choose to have a recession in order to get information under control.