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070: Risk Management with Robert Carver

Better System Trader

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Option Prices - How to Infer the Risk of an Unexpected Event

In an ideal world, your trading system would be aware of that. So the best way is to use auption prices. If you'd looked at the the option price of the pound versus the dollar a before the event, from that, you could actually infer what the expected risk was over the bre event that actually happened. And there are people who did this in advance, and they looked at it after wed a sable Actually, although the pound moved a lot, you could argue that was an unexpected event.

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