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160 – GAI is Imminent

The Bayesian Conspiracy

CHAPTER

I'm Glad You Said Flying Saucers and Not Uf Ost

If you actually knew someone was wrong 99% of the time on yes erno questions, you could obtain 99 point nine 9 % accuracy just by reversing their answers. They would need to do all the work of obtaining good evidence entangled with reality, and processing that evidence coherently just to anticorrelate that reliably. But instead, you just have whatever they say has no correlationy because even trump said things that are true sometimes. He also goes on to say that if stupidity is not reliably anti correlate with truth, how much less should human evil anti correlate withtruth? Pointing out that you wouldn't want to agree with stalin, would you? Oh, sorry. You cat pass

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