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Credit Default Swaps in China - Are You Looking for Signs of Credit Stress?
The Chinese CDS market has become very active. China is undergoing a massive leverage tray. It's a deleveraging process that involves the single biggest asset class in the world, which is the Chinese housing market. The other sector that I'm looking at when it comes to credit default swaps is banks. Banks obviously are in a much better shape than in 2007. But they do have significant exposure to the housing market and significantly exposures to emerging markets with a certain extent as well. As the housing market slows down, some of these might actually be reverberated through banks balance sheets. And therefore, credit default swaps are starting to reprise a meaningful possibility that some of these banks go on the trouble