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Bayesian Insights: From Crime to Science
This chapter explores Bayesian probability through criminal justice examples, illustrating how prior probabilities shape various scientific theories. It contrasts Newtonian and Einsteinian physics while delving into the evolution of scientific understanding and the implications of Bayesian reasoning in evaluating complex theories. Additionally, the chapter critiques the relationship between Bayesian approaches and critical rationalism, highlighting their philosophical tensions and the challenges they face.