I lean to pessimism, in part because of the attack that happened this week end. I think the war is going to probably go on for months and possibly into next year. And therefore the russians will have an incentive to try and continue to strangle ukraine's exports. What would stop them is the opprobrium from the world. So i would still give it a 30 or forty per cent chance of holding. But i don't think we should be very optimistic that this is going to be a lasting agreement.
Missile strikes on the port of Odessa have
dimmed hopes for a UN-brokered deal to get Ukraine’s grain on the move. We ask what chances it may still have. Tunisia's
constitutional referendum looks destined to formalise a march back to the autocratic rule it shook off during the Arab Spring. And how Formula 1 is looking to
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