Luisa and Robert Long on how to make independent research more fun
80k After Hours
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The Probability of Consciousness
Whenever I was incredibly uncertain, I'd like try a uniform distribution. That's where you put equal probability on all of the possible outcomes. But plenty of my distributions are super close to saying I'm just totally uncertain about which outcome it might be. And seeing it by everyone, I make it a little higher somewhere. Even if your probability is still like between zero and 99, then that is something. You probably will make it even narrower. So that would be information to me.
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