#63 – Ben Garfinkel on AI Governance
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The Consequences of Estimating the Chance of Human Extinction
A lot of estimates about AGI risk are in the 5 to 20% range. This seems like a sweet spot for tractability stuff, but it's not clear if there is any suspicious clustering around that number. There absolutely are people who are closer to 99% than the R to 20%. So I don't really know.
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