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Real Yields - What's the Scary Story?
Long term story is the last few cycles have not really gone according to plan. At no point, at least until now, have central banks had to raise rates to choke off an inflation and overheating economy. What's triggered recessions has instead been accidental bursting of asset price bubbles. And hence we come back to this paradox that if they haven't crumbled first, then you may go down that route again. So i think it's not very likely because I don't see any risk from a disorderly radhike cycle.