2min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

Is There A Political Realignment Among Latino Voters?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Is There a Difference Between Presidential Turnout and Midterm Turnout?

Turnout right turnout is significantly lower in midterm elections than presidential for all voters But especially for Latino voters the the electorate in a midterm is wider than a presidential election. We can expect much higher turnout Presidential level turnouts and like you said you have what academics called the peripheral voter versus the core voter Core Voter they know what party they belong to, know who they're gonna vote for They're more likely to vote peripheral voters Don't have a very clear sense of partisanship and when they vote they are closer to what we would call a swing voter Not the classic swing voter that people have in their minds but rather somebody who's not paying a lot of attention to politics.

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