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Cullen Roche: Macro Is About Understanding the World for What It Is

The Long View

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Is There a Recession in the US?

We haven't had a prolonged recession in the us. Since the global financial crisis. That's a long time between recessions. So do you think we're due for one? And is the timing and cas predictable in your view? No, i don't think anyone can predict when these big, traumatic shocks are going to happen to the economy. I mean, obviously, t would be great if you had some sort of crystal ball that could predict whet these big sort of sizema ships would happen. But it's nice to look at the world less like its cyclical and more like it is this boring sort of trend.

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