The Probability of a Global Catastrophic Event

In a given moment of time, there's a percentage chance that something will happen. If you are stupid enough to play russian roulette, each individual round there is a one and sixth chance that you kill yourself. But the cumulative probability of doing it six times, assuming you don't spin the barrel each time, is a hundred per cent. This is called an agodic distribution. And so it's very important to realize when you're dealing with an agodic or non agodic risk,. excellent nathing as agreechance g into the next point here.