6min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

Fed Faces "Debt Death Spiral" While Inflation Soars | Luke Gromen & Jim Bianco

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

The Instability of the Treasury Market

Luke Reynolds: I think that's sort of, warning signal one is probably just the DXY rising. Warning signal two is, I think, stocks falling. And then I think warning signal number four is you start getting some crappy auctions. The volatility index is at a 12 year high. The yield curve was a year ago, 180 basis points, two's tens, and it's down to 20%. This is all happening before the Fed actually raised rates next week. It comes at some point in the process when we've always been tweeting about inverted yields.

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