Is It a 63 % Chance of the Bills to Win the Division?

Bills have a 63% chance of winning the division, if they beat the patriots in three weeks and win 16. Bills' chances are basically zero if they lose that game against new england. If it's a 50 50 chance, i think at will realle 81 % or something like that. So your numbers almost imply that patriots have h greater chance right now than than my minus 36.