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Geoffrey B. West: The Universal Laws of Growth and Pace
Long Now: Seminars About Long-term Thinking
The Time Between Computers, Laptops, and IT
The time between major innovations has to get shorter and shorter, he says. Something that might have taken 100 years or 1000 years ago now only takes 15-20 years. So you can take this argument to an absurd stage - every two years we'll need a new big innovation like the IT revolution of last 25 years. The system will collapse ultimately anyway, so any major innovation is just postponing, just putting things off. That's the idea, and so we have to come to terms with that.
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