Russia's National Dilemma

It is highly likely that at some point the federal center would just lose control over a number of reasons. First reason is that power is always mythological. It is based on mythos and or any military defeats, they to greater or less extent, harm the imperial mythos. So if Russia loses to Ukraine, I think this probably would be the start of the system's total disruption. And another factor to consider: If Moscow formalized bureaucratic structures like RMEFSB, National Guard, or controlling people with arms, it very much deluded this year.