
Mantic Monday 7/31/23: Room Temperature Superforecaster
Astral Codex Ten Podcast
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Baba Vanga's Predictions for 2023
Baba Vanga's followers claim that she foresaw a devastating nuclear disaster this year. She also predicts the end of natural pregnancies in 2023, with states and medical experts deciding who gets one quote. In 2014, researchers at a New Zealand university created Predict It, a real money prediction market focusing on US politics. Real money prediction markets are somewhere between unregulated futures exchanges and gambling. The US restricts both these things, so it restricts prediction markets too.
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