Learning Bayesian Statistics cover image

#73 A Guide to Plotting Inferences & Uncertainties of Bayesian Models, with Jessica Hullman

Learning Bayesian Statistics

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Are There Any Studies Around Probabilistic Thinking in Electoral Coverage?

Since the advent of 538 there is way more talk about probabilistic thinking in electoral coverage at least in the US and however I'm curious how much better people understand probabilities and understand uncertainty. There's not going to be a big enough difference between fully taking into account all uncertainty and just like being this sort of empirical kind of like I'm just going to use the means and ignore the uncertainty so I think what I don't know some of my interest in theory is like I think if we apply a certain learning theory there might be ways in which we can better understand why some of our behavior actually works.

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