The Future of Electric Vehicles

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If this trend continues, you could get to 2027, where you'd be able to charge 200 miles in four minutes. But really, this metric is a good proxy for overall performance. And what we're seeing is that at a certain point, it doesn't matter if your car charges in, you know, seven minutes or six minutes, but you'll start to optimize for different things.

Welcome to the Big Ideas Monday Miniseries, brought to you by the For Your Innovation Podcast.

Big Ideas is meant to enlighten investors on the long-term impact of innovation. This annual research report seeks to highlight the technological breakthroughs evolving today and creating the potential for super-exponential growth tomorrow.

We believe that innovation is taking off now, corroborating our original research and boosting our confidence that ARK’s strategies are on the right side of change.

To learn more, view Big Ideas 2023.

This week’s Big Ideas Monday Mini Episode focuses on Electric Vehicles.

Investors once questioned whether the future was electric. Demand for EVs has scaled despite a pause in cost declines caused by commodity price shocks. Now investors doubt whether or not the growth will be exponential.

The debate around electric vehicles has shifted from demand to supply. Based on Wright’s Law, ARK forecasts that EV prices will decline and sales will increase more than 7-fold, or 50% at an annual rate, from roughly 7.8 million in 2022 to 60 million units in 2027.

The biggest downside risks to our forecast are supply constraints that could continue to impact pricing and the speed at which traditional automakers transition to electric vehicles.

Sources: ARK Investment Management LLC, 2023. Forecasts are inherently limited and cannot be relied upon. For informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any particular security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.