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Is The Yield Curve’s Recession Signal Wrong?Jeff Snider

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

CHAPTER

Signs of an Oncoming Recession

This chapter analyzes the subtle indicators suggesting an approaching recession, emphasizing hiring patterns as crucial triggers rather than mass layoffs. It critiques the discrepancy between nominal and real economic metrics, revealing troubling signs despite persistent consumer spending. The discussion highlights the complexities of the labor market and consumer confidence, illustrating how various sectors exhibit signs of a slowing economy.

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