You can go and take really risky bets in the market and maybe make a bunch of profit. But because the market blew up, maybe companies are now having to lay off people. And you previously thought that your job was stable, but now it's not,. You're laid off, so your source of income goes down. Maybe giving up some of the sexiness of a performance is a way for you to not blow up your entir life as well.
In this episode, Cal and Steph discuss the hidden side of risk: the infrequent, often unpredictable events that make the biggest differences in our lives.
If you look around, rare, high-impact events are everywhere.
- A small number of days in the stock market drive the bulk of the returns.
- Large businesses like Google, Amazon, and Best Buy have tested thousands of products, yet have a single profit puppy.
- Insurance companies make money on most customers, but have to pay out very large claims to a few people.
- A handful of people have had more of an effect on the future than the other 7 billion people combined.
This episode is all about navigating tail risk and tail opportunity. You'll learn how to better avoid the catastrophic events in life, and on the flip side, to take advantage of the life-enhancing opportunities with asymmetric upside.
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