i'm not a very imaginative person generally. I have a hard time conjuring scenes out of thin air. But using the coin flip as the sort of emotional visualiz on of what your life can look like once the coin comes up heads, if you feel relief, that's a really good indicator. My guess is that some people know what they want to do, but they need the courage to do it. And other people are really indecisive. They just don't know whether it's the right thing to do for them to quit or to stay the course.
Also: why is it so hard to predict success?