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Episode 4: Respect the Polygon
Against the Rules with Michael Lewis
Weather Forecasts Are Inherently Uncertain
When james span started out, the ten day forecast was no better than just guessing. Now that he knows a lot, he works hard to explain what he doesn't know. The most obvious improvement has been in forecasters understanding of the kind of weather that kills people. Back when james span was a youngeor ist, he knew very little, but tried to sound like he knew a lot.
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