3min chapter

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Q3 2022 Investor Audibles: Third Point Capital, Ensemble Capital, Greenlight Capital

Value Hive Podcast

CHAPTER

COVID and the Risk of a Recession

The odds of a recession in any randomly selected year is about 10 to 15 percent. The US stock market has already declined by as much as 24 percent from its highs. If the US manages to avoid tipping into a recession, it is likely that equity investors will enjoy very strong returns over the next year or two. During severe recessions, stock markets decline between 30 to 50 percent.

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