THINKING AHEAD: How to Make Life’s Big Decisions
The Next Big Idea
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Is There a Useful Degree of Delusion?
If people were entirely rational decision-makers, wouldn't we have sub-optimal outcomes? We would all be single dentists. Most people in this room have chosen to do something that's a little bit irrational. The flip side of that irrational exuberance and confidence is overconfidence and confirmation bias.
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