4min chapter

Flirting with Models cover image

David Sun - Expectancy Hacking (S5E5)

Flirting with Models

CHAPTER

How Do You Know What Expected Return to Target Is?

When we're approaching designing system or sing the trade, we take this top down approach. Typically people take a bottom lup approach where they're looking for different opportunities and different positions an different trades,. And then they put em on, and then they manage them. But by locking in the expected return, in many ways, you're letting the risk vary. If i know i expect to capture 25 % ha premium, then i should sell 400 thousand, because i'm going to capture 25, which is a hundred thousand. Then backing that out, divide that by the number of trades i’m going to do ing o give n periof time, lets say a year. That

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