AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
4min chapter
Byrne Hobart - Optionality, Stagnation, and Secret Societies
Dwarkesh Podcast
Why Rationalists Aren't as Good at Predicting the Future as Other Sub-Cultures
Rationalists are good at predicting the future, but comparatively worse at influencing it. They can spend political capital in cost effective ways, but earning it often requires counter rational decisions. The population that was warning about covid early is also the set of people who are talking about, i dont ko decoin is going to save the world,. and o chriogenics is really important. And we live in a simulation like they have a lot of weird beliefs. Some of them were pobably false.
00:00
Transcript
Episode notes
Get the Snipd
podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered
Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any
moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share
& Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode