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Michael Mauboussin on Valuation, Base Rates and Expectations Investing

Excess Returns

00:00

The Paradox of Skill and Luck in Investing

As the level of skill in investing rises over time, some people actually think that luck plays a smaller role than it did. So can you explain the idea of the paradox of skill? It's one of these things that's not at first blushed intuitive, but I think it's right. And as a consequence, luck appears to have a bigger and bigger role in the outcome.

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