189: The Podcast Election, Betting Markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) & Hollywood’s AI Play
Not Investment Advice
Betting Markets vs. Polling in Elections
This chapter explores the differences between polling and betting markets in predicting political election outcomes, emphasizing how real monetary stakes in betting reveal genuine convictions. The conversation also highlights the interaction between betting markets, stock movements, and the impact of significant bets on public perception and polling data. Additionally, the discussion touches on the role of generative AI in the film industry, reflecting a broader reluctance to engage deeply with political issues in favor of media and technological innovations.
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