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China and the Second Island Chain
There are four main campaigns that the chinese military seems to be preparing for when it comes to tiwan. They have more coercive campaigns, like a joint missile campaign. The real debate amongst us specialists is whether or not china can do this fourth one. I know a lot of my colleagues who i respect, who watch this issue as i do, fundamentally believe that there should be things more important to China than tawan. But after that, i don't see a centnerio inwhich this war doesn't happen.