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7min chapter
E69: Will the US Have a Civil War with @WhatifAltHist's Rudyard Lynch
"Moment of Zen"
Predicting Revolutions and Societal Upheavals
The chapter explores predictive models for revolutions based on factors like income inequality, average wages, and job competition, drawing parallels from historical events like the French Revolution and Russian Civil War. It discusses the theory that wealth disparity and lack of cooperation lead to social breakdown, and mentions a computer model by Peter Turchen that has accurately predicted over 20 revolutions in history. The discussion extends to current societal issues, such as economic struggles and demographic disparities, hinting at a potential breeding ground for unrest and dissatisfaction among young men.
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